Sensitivity Analysis — UnlockLand
Features/Underwrite

Find out where the deal breaks — before the market does.

Move costs, rents, prices, rates, and timing and watch your returns respond. UnlockLand Sensitivity Analysis pressure-tests every assumption so you know exactly how much room a deal has.

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The risk lens of underwriting — turn a single answer into a range of outcomes.

Wood-framed mid-rise building under construction with a tower crane
Base-case IRR
21.4%
Cost buffer to hurdle
8%
Sensitivity · Riyadh Sedra Ext (Ph 4–6) Output · Levered IRR ±1 STD INPUTS
Base-case IRR
21.4%
Downside input Upside input
Drivers ranked by impact on IRR
Sale price ±5% 16.1 26.8
Build cost ±8% 15.4 25.7
Sales pace ±25% 17.9 24.9
Senior rate ±100 bps 18.9 23.6
Timeline +6 / −3 mo 17.5 22.5
12%21.4% base30%
Sale price and build cost drive 71% of the variance — focus diligence there first.

Illustrative interface — each bar flexes one input ±1 standard move while holding the rest at base.

One model, every plausible outcome

A base case is one guess about the future. Sensitivity Analysis takes your funded model and flexes the assumptions that move the needle — so you arrive at committee with a downside you can defend, not a single number you hope holds.

Drivers ranked

A tornado view ranks which inputs swing returns the most — so you focus diligence where the deal is actually exposed.

Scenarios saved

Build base, upside, and downside cases — or a two-variable grid — and keep them side by side as the deal evolves.

Break-evens found

See the cost overrun, price drop, or rate rise that takes the deal to zero profit — and how much cushion sits before it.

How it works

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Two variables, one map of the deal

Flex sale price against build cost and read the IRR in every cell. The green zone is where the deal works; the red corner is where it breaks — and you can see exactly how far the base case sits from the edge.

IRR data table · sale price × build cost Levered IRR · %
Sale price vs. plan →
Build cost vs. plan
−8%
−4%
Base
+4%
+8%
−8%
18.0
22.3
26.6
30.9
35.2
−4%
15.4
19.7
24.0
28.3
32.6
Base
12.8
17.1
21.4
25.7
30.0
+4%
10.2
14.5
18.8
23.1
27.4
+8%
7.6
11.9
16.2
20.5
24.8
Lower IRR Higher IRR
Base case · 21.4% · 8% cost buffer before the hurdle

What goes in, what comes out

You provide
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UnlockLand returns
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Where it fits in the workflow

Sensitivity Analysis is the final check before you commit to a view. It takes the structured deal from the Capital Stack and hands a tested, range-bound case to your Investment Memo.

Before
Capital Stack
The structured deal to test.
Next
Investment Memos
Carry the downside into the write-up.
Related
Return Analysis
Read the base-case metrics in depth.
Platform
See the full workflow
How risk connects to decisions.

Ready to compare plans? See pricing.

Know your downside. Commit with confidence.

Start free and stress-test your first deal in minutes — no credit card required.

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